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ABNT20 KNHC 078
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT SAT SEP 6 2008
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC... CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... 
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM HANNA... LOCATED ABOUT 120 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ISLIP NEW
YORK... AND ON DANGEROUS HURRICANE IKE... LOCATED ABOUT 60 MILES
EAST OF GRAND TURK ISLAND.
THE REMNANTS OF JOSEPHINE... A LOW PRESSURE AREA... ARE LOCATED ABOUT
900 MILES WEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.  SHOWER ACTIVITY WITH THE
SYSTEM REMAINS LIMITED... AND UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE CURRENTLY
UNFAVORABLE FOR RE-DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR.
ELSEWHERE... TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.
 
FORECASTER STEWART

AXNT20 KNHC 070010
TWDAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION 
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT SAT SEP 06 2008
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA... CENTRAL 
AMERICA... GULF OF MEXICO... CARIBBEAN SEA... NORTHERN SECTIONS OF 
SOUTH AMERICA... AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE 
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE 
IMAGERY... METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS... WEATHER OBSERVATIONS... AND 
RADAR.
BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2315 UTC.
... SPECIAL FEATURES... 
TROPICAL STORM HANNA IS CENTERED NEAR 39.5N 74.6W AT 07/0 UTC 
NEAR ATLANTIC CITY NEW JERSEY MOVING NE AT 24 KT. ESTIMATED 
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 992 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 
IS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. PLEASE SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ 
ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT3/WTNT23 KNHC FOR MORE 
DETAILS. HANNA IS EXPECTED TO LOSE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS IN 
12-24 HOURS. HANNA IS ENTERING THE WESTERLIES AND SHOULD 
ACCELERATE NORTHEASTWARD FOR THE NEXT 24-36 HR..FOLLOWED BY A 
RAPID EASTWARD MOTION. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS 
ALONG THE COAST OF NEW JERSEY FROM 38N-40N BETWEEN 72W-75W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS OVER NEW ENGLAND FROM 41W-44W 
BETWEEN 70W-75W.  
HURRICANE IKE IS CENTERED NEAR 21.3N 70.2W AT 07/0 UTC OR 
ABOUT 60 MILES... 105 KM... EAST OF GRAND TURK ISLAND MOVING WSW 
AT 13 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 947 MB. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT. PLEASE SEE 
LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT4/ 
WTNT24 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. IKE HAS INTENSIFIED TO A EXTREMELY 
DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. 
IKE IS NOW FORECAST TO TRACK SOUTH OF THE COOLER WATERS UPWELLED 
BY HANNA. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 
18N-24N BETWEEN 67W-72W TO INCLUDE NE HISPANIOLA. 
... TROPICAL WAVES...  
TROPICAL WAVE IS W OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS ALONG 31W S OF 18N 
MOVING W NEAR 15 KT. WEAK CURVATURE IS OBSERVED ON SATELLITE 
IMAGERY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS FROM 2N-13N BETWEEN 30W-35W. 
WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ALSO FROM 3N-7N BETWEEN 
23W-30W.  
TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 60W S OF 15N MOVING W NEAR 15 KT. WAVE 
REMAINS LOW AMPLITUDE AND APPEARS EMBEDDED WITHIN THE ITCZ. 
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 11N-14N 
BETWEEN 54W-58W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 11N-15N 
BETWEEN 58W-63W.   
... THE ITCZ... 
THE ITCZ AXIS IS ALONG 12N16W 6N23W 10N34W 8N40W 12N55W 12N62W.  
BESIDES THE CONVECTION MENTIONED IN THE TROPICAL WAVE SECTION...  
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 9N-11N BETWEEN 17W-20W.  
... DISCUSSION... 
GULF OF MEXICO... 
A WEAK STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDS FROM THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE TO S 
TEXAS ALONG 31N87W 27N90W 26N97W. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 
30 NM OF THE FRONT. A SURFACE TROUGH IS OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE 
ALONG 22N97W 18N94W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 
17N-22N BETWEEN 93W-96W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG 
CONVECTION IS OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM 18N-22N BETWEEN 
88W-92W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS OVER W CUBA FROM 
22N-24N BETWEEN 80W-85W. IN THE UPPER LEVELS... A BROAD UPPER 
LONGWAVE TROUGH IS OVER THE US INTO THE NW GULF. A WEAK INVERTED 
UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE COAST OF S MEXICO IN THE BAY OF 
CAMPECHE NEAR 18N93W TO 22N94W. EXPECT CONVECTION OVER THE SRN 
GULF OF MEXICO S OF 25N DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  
CARIBBEAN SEA..
HURRICANE IKE IS GENERATING SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS OVER A PORTION 
OF THE GREATER ANTILLES BETWEEN THE VIRGIN ISLANDS AND E 
CUBA... SEE SPECIAL FEATURES ABOVE. A TROPICAL WAVE IS ALSO 
ENTERING THE E CARIBBEAN. SEE ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... SCATTERED 
MODERATE CONVECTION IS OVER PANAMA FROM 8N-10N BETWEEN 80W-82W.  
IN THE UPPER LEVELS... EASTERLY FLOW COVERS THE ENTIRE CARIBBEAN 
SEA. EXPECT HURRICANE IKE AND THE TROPICAL WAVE TO BE THE MAIN 
WEATHER FEATURES OVER THE CARIBBEAN OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  
ATLANTIC OCEAN... 
HURRICANE IKE IS THE MAIN CONCERN FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS OVER THE 
SW ATLC... SEE SPECIAL FEATURES ABOVE. IN THE TROPICS... THE 
REMNANTS OF JOSEPHINE IS CENTERED NEAR 17N38W WITH 1009 MB. 
SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE FROM 17N-21N BETWEEN 36W-40W. IN THE UPPER 
LEVELS... A RIDGE IS OVER THE W ATLANTIC N OF 20N AND W OF 70W. 
AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC NEAR 23N50W. A 
LARGE UPPER LEVEL HIGH IS OVER THE E ATLANTIC NEAR 20N25W.

FORMOSA

NOUS42 KNHC 061300
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0900 AM EDT SAT 06 SEPTEMBER 2008
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
         VALID O7/1100Z TO 08/1100Z SEPTEMBER 2008
         TCPOD NUMBER... ..08-098

I.  ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. HURRICANE IKE
       FLIGHT ONE -- TEAL 71
       A. 07/1800,08/0Z
       B. AFXXX 0909A IKE
       C. 07/1500Z
       D. 21.6N 74.1W
       E. 07/1700Z TO 08/0Z
       F. SFC TO 10, FT

       FLIGHT TWO -- NOAA 49
       A. 08/0Z
       B. NOAA9 1009A IKE
       C. 07/1730Z
       D. NA
       E. NA
       F. 41, TO 45, FT

       FLIGHT THREE -- TEAL 72
       A. 08/0600,1200Z
       B. AFXXX 1109A IKE
       C. 08/0230Z
       D. 21.8N 76.6W
       E. 08/0500Z TO 08/1200Z
       F. SFC TO 10, FT

       FLIGHT FOUR -- NOAA 49
       A. 08/1200Z
       B. NOAA9 1209A IKE
       C. 08/0530Z
       D. NA
       E. NA
       F. 41, TO 45, FT

    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: BEGIN 3-HRLY FIXES AT
       08/1500Z. A G-IV FOR 09/0Z. A WP-3 AXBT DEPLOYMENT
       AT 08/1600Z.

    3. REMARKS: N0AA 42 WILL FLY AN 8 HR RESEARCH MISSION
       DEPARTING TISX AT 07/2Z. SFC TO 8, FT.

11. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK... ..NEGATIVE.
                        JWP